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Atlantic Council: Alleged Sabotage in Baltic Sea Points to Broader Threat

23.11.2024
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According to E.Braw

 

The Yi Peng 3 is just a bulk carrier, one of countless vessels carrying everything from grain to coal, aluminum, and fertilizer. But the Chinese-flagged vessel may have had a different mission entirely. Authorities and the open-source intelligence (OSINT) community have zeroed in on the Yi Peng 3 as potentially responsible for the severing of two undersea cables in the Baltic Sea, with Germany’s defense minister already calling it a hybrid attack. More incidents like this are to be expected.

On November 17, the undersea cable connecting Sweden and Lithuania was cut, and less than twenty-four hours later, the only communications cable connecting Finland to Germany was also cut. As OSINT investigators quickly discovered, the Yi Peng 3 was at the scene of both incidents. Swedish, Lithuanian, Finnish, and German authorities have yet to publicly blame the bulk carrier, but as it sailed from the Baltic Sea toward the Atlantic Ocean, it was followed by Danish naval vessels.

Undersea cables and pipelines are highly vulnerable to geopolitically motivated harm, and such aggression can be carried out by individuals and entities that have no formal connection to the government instigating the aggression. The world’s rapidly expanding offshore wind farms are also highly vulnerable.

For governments committed to the rule of law and a rules-based international order, it is not enough to claim that if something looks like sabotage, it is sabotage. Aggression in the gray zone is, in fact, a dilemma for modern society.

 

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